Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002430 0.002586 0.002752 0.002944 0.003161 0.003399 0.003683
2024-10-27 0.002180 0.002390 0.002627 0.002918 0.003271 0.003691 0.004240
2024-11-03 0.001919 0.002143 0.002404 0.002736 0.003158 0.003690 0.004437
2024-11-10 0.001819 0.002067 0.002366 0.002762 0.003292 0.004003 0.005088
2024-11-17 0.001748 0.002017 0.002351 0.002810 0.003453 0.004370 0.005899
2024-11-24 0.001662 0.001940 0.002291 0.002788 0.003508 0.004590 0.006536
2024-12-01 0.001618 0.001910 0.002289 0.002841 0.003675 0.005003 0.007631
2024-12-08 0.001558 0.001854 0.002246 0.002830 0.003741 0.005262 0.008530
2024-12-15 0.001492 0.001788 0.002183 0.002782 0.003741 0.005406 0.009242
2024-12-22 0.001467 0.001774 0.002191 0.002840 0.003918 0.005902 0.011038
2024-12-29 0.001440 0.001756 0.002191 0.002884 0.004076 0.006399 0.013206
2025-01-05 0.001391 0.001704 0.002140 0.002842 0.004076 0.006568 0.014506
2025-01-12 0.001324 0.001626 0.002050 0.002738 0.003962 0.006493 0.015012
2025-01-19 0.001288 0.001591 0.002021 0.002731 0.004029 0.006849 0.017658
2025-01-26 0.001215 0.001500 0.001905 0.002574 0.003795 0.006444 0.016560
2025-02-02 0.001194 0.001483 0.001900 0.002600 0.003919 0.006950 0.020661
2025-02-09 0.001179 0.001474 0.001905 0.002644 0.004085 0.007624 0.027747
2025-02-16 0.001149 0.001443 0.001874 0.002624 0.004115 0.007936 0.033646
2025-02-23 0.001137 0.001437 0.001882 0.002672 0.004297 0.008778 0.051909
2025-03-02 0.001114 0.001412 0.001860 0.002662 0.004351 0.009237 0.073061
2025-03-09 0.001084 0.001378 0.001820 0.002619 0.004324 0.009407 0.093761
2025-03-16 0.001076 0.001375 0.001832 0.002671 0.004526 0.010542 0.297088
2025-03-23 0.001066 0.001369 0.001836 0.002711 0.004706 0.011732 NaN